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Over the course of this decade, it is estimated that the global middle-class population will increase from 3.3 billion to around 5.3 billion by 2030*. This would be a historic expansion, equivalent to around 200 million people annually and a potential 80% increase to the aggregate spend of this group. To take advantage of this macro trend, in March 2020 Downing Fund Managers launched the VT Downing Global Investors Fund managed by Anthony Eaton, the fund invests in companies, no matter where they are located, that supply the wants and needs of this growing consumer class.
A Darwinian approach
Following a consistent but evolving long-term theme, Anthony describes his investment approach as Darwinian, i.e. ‘grow or go’.
“The whole purpose of the fund is to view the global middle-class population as a single entity rather than a series of geographically distinct groups,” he says. “We buy businesses, anywhere, which supply goods and services for this homogenous market place.”
Anthony believes that trends drive events and change is brought about by pricing discovery. He says, “We believe markets collectively are good at signalling developing trends through pricing patterns. We identify candidates for investment through our initial screening process and conduct bottom-up analysis at a stock specific level to determine who gets selected.”
Harvesting growth
To keep individual stock-specific risk low, the fund typically invests in around 200** positions.
“Our thematic approach lies in identifying broad themes and the companies operating across those themes. We anticipate significant opportunity for capital and see no need to concentrate stock specific risk in that scenario.”
“Cosmetics is a good example of a sector leveraged to the new discretionary spending dollar,” he says. “We would generally seek out businesses at the top end of the market because higher pricing and better quality often imply wider margins. The same approach would apply to food, healthcare, technology and energy supply. Our focus is on established winners, strong margins, geographically diversified earnings, increasing demand and good governance.”
A proven approach
Anthony was lead manager of the Thornbridge Global Opportunities Fund from 2005 to August 2019 and has been applying his investment philosophy and principles for over 15 years.
“By the end of the decade around two-thirds of the global middle class will be Asian***,” he says. “Our investment strategy implicitly recognises this and we actively look for businesses moved by that compounding dynamic
*** Source: Global Economy & Development, Brookings, February 2017
This is for information only and does not constitute an offer or invitation to apply for shares in the fund. Any subscription to the fund should be made on the basis of the relevant product literature available from Downing. Please pay particular attention to the charges and risk factors. Any personal opinions expressed are subject to change and should not be interpreted as advice or a recommendation. Capital is at risk and investors should note that their investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as rise, and investors may not get back the full amount they invested. Investments in smaller companies will normally involve greater risk or volatility than investments in larger, more established companies. Downing is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (Firm Registration No. 545025). Registered in England No. OC341575. Registered Office: St Magnus House, 3 Lower Thames Street, London EC3R 6HD.
